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Rates & Safe Havens

The Treasury Spent $4bn. Gold Had Its Best Day in Six Months.

A bond buyback worth a rounding error against the $32 trillion Treasury market still knocked yields off a 2007 high, sent gold and Bitcoin sharply higher, and reignited the dollar-debasement trade that's shadowed markets since early 2025.

25 August 2026 · Chris Darbyshire
AI & Credit Markets

Nvidia Is Now Financing the Company That Buys Its Chips

A $105bn credit line for OpenAI's Ohio campus, a guarantee on up to 25% of any AI project's residual value, and a regulatory carve-out that keeps the loans outside the usual investor protections.

18 August 2026 · Chris Darbyshire
Macro & Market Structure

Jobs, Leverage and the AI Financing Gap

US payrolls have stalled since May, yet risk assets just posted their most euphoric week in years, built more on leverage and debt-financed AI spending than on the economy underneath it.

11 August 2026 · Chris Darbyshire
China Tech · Valuation

Baidu Is Worth $38bn. Waymo Alone Is Worth $126bn.

Baidu runs a search engine, a leading LLM, a cloud business and a robotaxi fleet running about as many monthly rides as Waymo. The whole company is priced at less than a third of Waymo on its own.

6 August 2026 · Chris Darbyshire
Equity Markets

SpaceX's $100bn Lock-Up: What the Numbers Actually Show

A 92% revenue beat and a marquee Nvidia deal weren't enough to hold the price once 911.5 million insider shares hit the market. Here's why the two stories don't contradict each other.

6 August 2026 · Chris Darbyshire
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